What percent of Project 2025 will be accomplished by the end of Trump's term?

Question

[X%, Y%) means the range inclusive of X%, and up to but not including Y%.

I found a website tracking and quantifying how far Project 2025 seems to be progressing. https://www.project2025.observer/

This market resolves to the overall progress percent as reported on the website when Trump is no longer POTUS for his 2nd term or when 11:59am EST Jan 20, 2029 occurs, whichever happens first. Official government sources will be used.

If the website is no longer online when this market closes, then it will resolve to the latest snapshot from the Internet Archive that was taken while Trump was POTUS during this market's operation.

https://web.archive.org/web/20250000000000*/https://www.project2025.observer/

This market will not entertain arguments about temporary discontinuity of the Presidency due to the 25th Ammendment -- that won't count to close this market if Trump is still POTUS.

Update 2025-03-10 (PST) (✅ Market Creator approved AI summary of creator comment): Interpretation of POTUS Status:

In circumstances akin to the scenario from 3:00 to 3:47 in the CGP Grey video, Trump will be considered still POTUS, even if he is not serving as an Acting President.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, [75%, 80%), followed by [60%, 65%) and [70%, 75%) are most likely. See the market for live updates (14 traders, as of Aug 31, 2026).