USMV at least Ṁ1000/share for at least 48 continuous hours before September?

Question

Resolves YES if this is achieved after this market opens.

Eastern Time zone and the year of 2026 will be used. Results will be verified with the USMV's trade ledger. Timestamps will be measured down to a granularity of a second. A difference of 48:00:00 between state changes counts. 47:59:59 does not.

Market will close at 11:59:00pm ET on Aug 29, 2026. If the USMV is at least Ṁ1000/share at that time, the market will stay unresolved until it's either impossible for a 48 hour run to be achieved, or it happens and this market subsequently resolves YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve NO.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Quroe/unspecified-stock-market-variable)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 30% chance (5 traders, as of Aug 6, 2026).