The Whaleslayer Coinflip

Question

I'll use @FairlyRandom to generate a random number after the market closes.

1 = Resolves YES

2 = Resolves NO

I will award 1,000 mana out of @/Quroe/quroes-mana-vault to the trader with the greatest loss on the profit table after this market resolves. (If no traders lost mana at resolution, I will award it to whoever profited the least.)

Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Quroe/who-will-win-the-whaleslayer-coinfl)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 51% chance (30 traders, as of Jun 23, 2026).