This market resolves YES to the market answer that represents the final game choice of Share/Steal/Forfeit that Contestant A will make during Manifest 2026’s Nash Pit game show. All other market answers resolve NO. All resolve N/A if the game show does not begin. 

 is allowed to trade on these markets at any time they are open, but the Host/Market Creator cannot trade until The Twist is locked in. 

A Shred of Hope - The Contestant that had the most votes on 

 will receive this debuff: they must secretly shred either their Share or their Steal choice envelope during The Twist Reveal. They will be unable to make the choice they shred. (If the poll ended with a tie, then the Contestant will be decided by a coin toss.)

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Welcome to Nash Pit, the game show that exists because market forces demand it does.

This asymmetric game consists of 3 general parties:

· Contestants: Participants who make the final choice in the outcome.

· The Public: Anybody else not in the above categories.

2 Contestants and the Host will each ante at least 10k mana into a designated bounty market as a communal pot. This results in a pot of at least 30k mana. Anybody may add more to the pot at any time before the game’s conclusion.

Each Contestant will choose and reveal the choice of Share, Steal, or Forfeit simultaneously at the end of the game during The Big Reveal. The Contestants and Host will win a share of the pot following this payout matrix.

Halfway through the game, a Twist will be revealed that alters either the game rules or the general dynamics of the game. The Host is cognizant of the Twist and can act/trade on this information if they choose to before the Twist’s public reveal, which is explained below. The Host may reveal what the Twist is to anybody, publicly or privately, before The Twist’s Reveal. The Twist is locked in at OR before the beginning of the game and cannot be changed from then onward. The Twist can change, modify, or add 

 to this market page and game show that doesn’t reduce the payout ratio or size of the pot. 

Contestants are selected. If no valid Contestant from their respective markets can be selected, then the Host will ask for a volunteer from the crowd to participate.

 The game show begins now. Participants try to influence the final choices the Contestants make.

 Trading on Contestant choice markets halts. The Twist is then revealed. Its one-time or continuous effects become active, then trading resumes.

 It's the same as the first one, except now the Twist is publicly known and active/happened.

 Contestants meet back at the stage and secretly make their game choice. The Contestants lock in their choices, and then they simultaneously reveal their choices to everybody at the Host’s direction. Any Contestant that fails to make a choice within a reasonable amount of time or fails to appear for The Big Reveal is assumed to have Forfeited.

Any legal and Community Guidelines compliant deal can be made between anybody, anywhere, at any time -- with the Public, with the Contestants, even with the Host! Even with people not actively attending Manifest! However, these deals should generally be considered unenforceable by the game rules. Players may lie or deceive to manipulate the markets. Deals are generally not compelled to be upheld. Make deals at your own risk.

 during the live show will be assumed to be added to the pot, even if clarification by the donor is added stating otherwise. If the pot cannot be cleanly divided among its winners, then the Host will keep the leftover 1 mana. It is recommended that people not ante mana into the pot until they know they are a Contestant. 