Will I lose 4.8 lbs or more (164.7→159.9lbs) after 30 days of a low-dose potassium trial?

Question

I'll be trying SLIME MOLD TIME MOLD's "Low-Dose Potassium Community Trial" throughout late Oct-November.

I am a 25 year-old man who weighs approximately 164 lbs at steady state.

The completion criteria here are:

My weight measured on Day 1 of the trial will be compared with my weight as measured on Day 30 of the trial. If it has reduced 4.8lbs or more, the answer is "YES". Otherwise, it is "NO".

My weight on Day 1 was measured as 164.7 lbs.

Therefore, if my weight as measured on Day 30 is 159.9 lbs or fewer, this resolves as YES.

I will follow the trial procedure outlined in the post, starting with 330 and increasing to about 1300 mg of Nu-Salt daily.

If I fail to complete the 30 days or change the trial procedure substantially, I will choose N/A.

I'm not going to intentionally change other parts of my behavior to influence the weight.

Other market(s):

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Quate/will-my-measured-weight-be-5-lower)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Nov 23, 2022 by Manifold Markets prediction market.