Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?

'2023':15 '31':14 'ai':10 'anoth':4 'letter/statement':8 'may':13 'recogn':7 'risk':11 'well':6 'well-recogn':5

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

'-99':4 '2025':15 'ambient':7 'lk':3 'pre':11 'pre-print':10 'pressur':8 'print':12 'replic':13 'room':5 'superconduct':9 'temp':6

Who will be the next Speaker of the US House of Representatives?

'hous':10 'next':5 'repres':12 'speaker':6 'us':9

Who will be TIME's Person of the Year 2023?

Will Biden be the 2024 Democratic Nominee?

'2024':5 'biden':2 'democrat':6 'nomine':7

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

'2024':6 'biden':3 'elect':9 'joe':2 'presidenti':8 'us':7 'win':4

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" by the end of 2023?

'2023':15 'contain':7 'eliez':2 'end':13 'rationalussi':10 'tweet':6 'word':9 'write':4 'yudkowski':3

Will a prompt that enables GPT-4 to solve easy Sudoku puzzles be found? (2023)

'-4':7 '2023':15 'easi':10 'enabl':5 'found':14 'gpt':6 'prompt':3 'puzzl':12 'solv':9 'sudoku':11

Will @firstuserhere walk 100,000 steps in a day, before 2023 ends?

'000':5 '100':4 '2023':11 'day':9 'end':12 'firstuserher':2 'step':6 'walk':3

Will Destiny and Melina finalize their divorce legally in 2024?

'2024':10 'destini':2 'divorc':7 'final':5 'legal':8 'melina':4

Submit markets to be considered for the Manifold Market of the Year! What market do you think has been the most important, influential, interesting, and fun? Only markets that were open during some part of 2023 count.

Since I don't have any good way of selecting the winner aside from a vote, this will be a "Manifold's choice" award, i.e., the winner is chosen by all Manifold users who participate. The vote will use 

Destiny-related markets are banned from consideration as a punishment for manipulating 

 and because, let's be real, the Market of the Year wasn't a Destiny market.