Please read the preface for this type of market and other similar third-party validated AI markets 

Third-Party Validated, Predictive Markets: AI Theme

Attempting to improve upon this market, and make it a bit more interesting.

ProPara aims to promote the research in natural language understanding in the context of procedural text. This requires identifying the actions described in the paragraph and tracking state changes happening to the entities involved.

Given this five-sentence procedural paragraph (id 1167 from the training partition):

https://leaderboard.allenai.org/propara/submissions/public

Based upon a +/- 2% margin of error, we would need to see any public submission reach 0.822 or greater by the end of the year for this to resolve YES, otherwise NO.