What is going on at the CIA? [ADD RESPONSES]

Question

What is Ron Wyden referring to in the letter below?

https://www.wyden.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/wyden_letter_to_d-ciapdf.pdf

Resolution Criteria

Senator Ron Wyden, the longest-serving member of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, transmitted a classified letter to CIA Director John Ratcliffe expressing deep concerns about CIA activities. The specific subject matter of the classified letter remains undisclosed. This market resolves based on what Wyden's letter addresses, as determined by:

Official declassification or public disclosure of the letter's contents

Statements from Wyden, other Senate Intelligence Committee members, or CIA leadership confirming the subject matter

Credible reporting from established news outlets citing informed sources

Resolution will identify which of the provided answers (or other answers added by traders) accurately describes the primary concern raised in Wyden's letter.

Background

It is extremely rare for any U.S. senator to send a letter like this to the head of the CIA and make it public. Wyden has a long history of scrutinizing CIA activities, including concerns about secret mass surveillance programs that include collecting data on Americans, with serious problems associated with warrantless backdoor searches conducted entirely outside the statutory framework that Congress and the public believe govern this collection.

Considerations

The classified nature of the letter means the specific concern may not be publicly disclosed for months or years. Traders should be prepared for extended resolution timelines or potential resolution based on partial information if full declassification does not occur.

This description was generated by AI.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, CIA bypassing warrants and oversight; creating massive taxpayer and social security database;  via Palantir, followed by criminal activity and Something to do with Donald Trump specifically are most likely. See the market for live updates (15 traders, as of May 14, 2026).