Will Vince McMahon be found guilty of sex trafficking?

Question

In any court, with any sentence. Does not need to end up actually serving prison time; this resolves Yes even if the verdict is overturned later, or if Vince dies after conviction.

https://www.wsj.com/business/vince-mcmahon-accused-of-sex-trafficking-by-wwe-staffer-he-paid-to-keep-quiet-0b19b21c?st=0cn9sdzv8s0vuoq

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Panfilo/will-vince-mcmahon-settle-out-of-co)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 11% chance (6 traders, as of Jan 1, 2026).