Will Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau get engaged and/or married by the end of 2030?

Question

This market resolves Yes if an engagement or marriage is announced through official channels, or otherwise definitively proven to have already taken place, between Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau - the famous ones. Otherwise, this market resolves No at the end of 2030.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 54% chance (27 traders, as of Feb 15, 2026).