Will Admiral Frank "Mitch" Bradley be removed by any means before the 2026 Midterm Elections?

Question

This market resolves Yes if Adm. Bradley is fired, resigns, dies, or is otherwise no longer at his current post by the end of November 3rd, 2026. A nominal promotion or adjustment of his title won't count, he has to actually lose his current status and duties. Being moved to an unrelated duty such as an ambassadorship would count for Yes. Although this market is in response to the potential that he will be scapegoated by Secretary of Defense Hegseth and President Trump, it does not require any particular motive be revealed. Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments. I may bet on this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 28% chance (12 traders, as of Apr 6, 2026).