How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?

Question

Here are some details on the individual answers:

Die in office - this also applies if Putin doesn't actually die but becomes severely incapacitated and unable to rule while in office (like Salazar).

Lose an election - this implies Putin accepts the results. If he holds on to power, he doesn't cease to become president.

Move to a different position of power - this would mean he maintains significant control of the country/government/security services, e.g. as a Prime Minister, Head of Security Council or some kind of Father of the Nation (like Nazarbayev).

Be overthrown - by anything from a palace coup (think Khrushchev) to a popular uprising.

Leave active politics - if Putin leaves the post of President voluntarily without keeping any significant power (like Yeltsin did).

Feel free to suggest other answers or ask questions in the comments.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Die in office, followed by Leave active politics and Move to a different position of power are most likely. See the market for live updates (25 traders, as of Mar 5, 2026).