How will Vladimir Putin cease to be President of Russia?

Question

Here are some details on the individual answers:

Die in office - this also applies if Putin doesn't actually die but becomes severely incapacitated and unable to rule while in office (like Salazar).

Lose an election - this implies Putin accepts the results. If he holds on to power, he doesn't cease to become president.

Move to a different position of power - this would mean he maintains significant control of the country/government/security services, e.g. as a Prime Minister, Head of Security Council or some kind of Father of the Nation (like Nazarbayev).

Be overthrown - by anything from a palace coup (think Khrushchev) to a popular uprising.

Leave active politics - if Putin leaves the post of President voluntarily without keeping any significant power (like Yeltsin did).

Feel free to suggest other answers or ask questions in the comments.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Die in office, followed by Be overthrown and Leave active politics are most likely. See the market for live updates (28 traders, as of Aug 10, 2026).