Will there be 100 humans living on Mars in 2063?

Question

Resolves to YES if 100+ humans live on the surface or Mars' atmosphere. Minimum duration is 1 day.

Similar to:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/PC/will-there-be-100-humans-living-on-d559218680f7)(https://manifold.markets/embed/JonathanRay/will-there-be-100-humans-living-on)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 46% chance (19 traders, as of Dec 18, 2025).