Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?

Question

OPEN 64,845.41

Start 3:45 PM EDT 8/5/2026

END 3:45 PM EDT 8/12/2026

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is higher exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the market is created than it was at the exact time of creation. If the price is lower than or equal to the price at creation, the market resolves to NO.

Primary Source: CoinGecko's Bitcoin (BTC) page (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin)

Fallback Source: Yahoo Finance BTC-USD (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/BTC-USD/)

Timing: The price comparison is determined using the price at the market's exact creation timestamp ($T_0$) versus the price exactly 168 hours later ($T_0 + 168$ hours). If precise minute-by-minute historical data is inaccessible on the resolution date, the closest available hourly data points provided by the primary source will be used.

Background

Bitcoin (BTC) is the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. Its valuation is highly volatile and driven by shifting macroeconomic factors, ETF inflows and outflows, halving cycles, and general market liquidity. Short-term 7-day price movements are commonly traded based on technical analysis, regulatory news, and liquidations.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Aug 13, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.