What the total amount of mana will manifolders managram me?

Question

Time Window

June 30th 6:53 PM EST to July 30th 6:52 EST

About this market/account

The only way this account can make mana from trader bonuses. This account is dedicated to making interesting and cool markets. If you would like to support this cause donations will be appreciated.

YOU must include "Mana Market" in the comments when managraming me mana in order to count for this market

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the total amount of mana received by the creator through the "Managram" feature from other users. The market will resolve to the option corresponding to the total cumulative mana received from the time of market creation until the resolution date. The creator will post a screenshot or provide a link to their Manifold transaction history/profile showing the total incoming Managrams as the primary evidence for resolution. Only mana received via Managrams counts toward this total; mana received from other sources (such as market winnings, subsidies, or referral bonuses) is excluded. If the total amount of mana received is zero, the market will resolve to "0 - 50 mana." YES and all other questions NO.

Background

Manifold's "Managram" feature allows users to send mana directly to other users. This market tracks the volume of these peer-to-peer transfers received by the creator. Because this data is generally visible via a user's transaction log on the Manifold platform, the resolution depends on the creator's transparency regarding their received transactions.

Update 2026-07-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has updated the answer intervals to all intervals of 50 mana.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 0-50 mana, followed by 51-100 mana and 101-150 mana are most likely. See the market for live updates (8 traders, as of Jul 2, 2026).