Who will come second at the 2028 United States presidential elections? (Add Responses)

Question

Resolves to whoever comes second at the 2028 presidential election, based on the number of Electoral College votes.

Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be. I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later.

Resolves N/A in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held. If the election is postponed, then this market resolves to whoever comes second at the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to N/A. Also resolves N/A if the 2028 elections only have 1 candidate.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Other, followed by Gavin Newsom and Donald Trump are most likely. See the market for live updates (17 traders, as of Mar 5, 2026).