Will the next Star Trek movie be set in the Kelvin timeline?

Question

The three most recent Star Trek movies, Star Trek (2009), Star Trek into Darkness and Star Trek Beyond have all been set in an alternate timeline, revisiting the TOS era with new actors. Will that be the case for the next Star Trek film released?

Criteria that may make this resolve YES:

Set in TOS era

Features Chris Pine, Zachary Quinto, Karl Urban, Zoe Saldana, Simon Pegg, or John Cho reprising previous roles.

Clearly stated to be part of Kelvin timeline in marketing / promotional materials.

Not being clearly associated with a prime-timeline property such as TNG, VOY, ENT or DISCO.

Criteria for next Star Trek film are as per What year will the next Star Trek movie be released?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 4% chance (6 traders, as of Apr 12, 2026).