https://manifold.markets/NicoDelon/will-austins-in-defense-of-sbf-have?r=Tmljb0RlbG9u

31% chance. Will this post by @Austin have aged well?

https://manifold.markets/post/in-defense-of-sbf

[link preview]Resolution 

On November 11, 2023 I will close this market and post a poll asking Manifold users this simple question: "Has 'In defense of SBF' by @Austin aged well?" I will leave the poll open for two weeks and then resolve according to the percentage of YES answers. 

Will @Austin’s ‘In defense of SBF’ have aged well? [resolves to poll]

Will resolve according to my subjective feeling of regret (PROB) on close date.