Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?

Question

The question applies to the whole university, not just the College. Decisions made before the start of the 23-24 academic year don't count. Admissions into any program between then and the end of 2028 are included.

I'm interested if whether we'll find out that Harvard has exploited the loophole SCOTUS handed them, namely whether they'll use e.g. essays as a proxy for race determine admissions.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 87% chance (12 traders, as of Jan 3, 2026).