Will Judge T. Chutkan preside over Donald Trump’s trial for interfering with Congress certifying the election outcome?

Question

Resolves when a trial begins (defined here as when a witness is sworn to give evidence before a jury in the trial) of Donald Trump in the District of Columbia on an indictment including charges against him concerned with his efforts to be declared re-elected as President.

Resolves YES if the judge presiding is Tanya Chutkan. Resolves NO if it is another judge.

Resolves N/A once it is virtually certain no such trial will begin before the end of 2025.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-66422516

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 88% chance (12 traders, as of Oct 29, 2025).