'ncybot':4 'open':2 'open-sourc':1 'sourc':3

Automated Fire-the-CEO markets (à la https://www.overcomingbias.com/p/if-i-had-a-millhtml )

'/p/if-i-had-a-millhtml':11 'autom':1 'ceo':5 'fire':3 'fire-the-ceo':2 'la':8 'market':6 'www.overcomingbias.com':10 'www.overcomingbias.com/p/if-i-had-a-millhtml':9 'à':7

Making a market like this one to predict what will improve my mood over the coming months and writing about it

'come':16 'improv':11 'like':4 'make':1 'market':3 'month':17 'mood':13 'one':6 'predict':8 'write':19

Making a market like this one to predict what will improve [some other personal metric] over the coming months and writing about it

'come':18 'improv':11 'like':4 'make':1 'market':3 'metric':15 'month':19 'one':6 'person':14 'predict':8 'write':21

'app':4 'arbitrag':2 'manifold':1 'web':3

 for Manifold's Community fund, covering everything Manifold-related that I do alone over the next few months.

Answers I pursue will resolve YES if the project's funded, NO if it's not. Answers I don't pursue before close resolve N/A. If the project gets funded early enough, I'll make a new market on whether it'll hit a higher threshold.

In theory, higher-impact projects should have higher probabilities. In practice, let's see!

 keeps track of which projects I'm pursuing.