Neural Nets will be able to write bestselling novels by the end of 2025

Question

Resolution criteria (draft):

3+ fully AI written and edited (no human engagement in text) novels on NYT bestsellers list (or if that doesn't exist or chooses to ban AI novels, some equivalent)

Not bestsellers on the basis of novelty, but instead seen as novels in their own right (any suggestions on making this better)

Book must be written from a single prompt and not somehow just editing a very long context window.

Little human editing

Inspired by tweet thread (note I've put them all as "Neural Nets will" so that they are all framed the same):

[image][image]Link: https://twitter.com/RichardMCNgo/status/1640568776495353860?s=20

Mar 28, 11:22am: Neural Nets will be able to write bestselling novels by 2025 → Neural Nets will be able to write bestselling novels by the end of 2025

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Oct 15, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.