[Wheel of Time] Will any non-Darkfriend character from the books be a Darkfriend in the show?

Question

This market will resolve YES if any character who was not established in the Wheel of Time book series to be a Darkfriend is established to be a Darkfriend in the Amazon TV series.

Companion market for the opposite condition:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/NLeseul/wheel-of-time-will-any-darkfriend-c)For purposes of this market, two characters are the same if they have the same name (even if a character in the show is clearly integrating parts of some other character's plot arc from the books).

For purposes of this market, being a Darkfriend means saying explicitly "I am a Darkfriend," or similar language such as "I have sworn oaths to the Great Lord bwa ha ha." (Not counting obvious jokes or lies.) Being identified as a Darkfriend by another major evil character also counts. Also, once you start down the Dark path, forever will it dominate your destiny. Any character who has ever been a Darkfriend counts (even if they later regret it and try to redeem themselves, or whatever).

In the absence of a YES resolution, this market is intended to stay open until the end of the series. I will adjust the closing date as needed. If the series is cancelled before completion, I will wait for one year after the official announcement of cancellation, and resolve YES if interviews with people involved in the show clearly indicate an intent for a character to be handled differently from the books.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 97% chance (4 traders, as of Jan 13, 2026).