Will a Starship orbital flight attempt occur before May 16?

Question

A duplicate of this market, with a different date.

For the purposes of this market the test doesn't have to be successful or even conclusive - a scrub is fine as long as it's clear that SpaceX was trying to do an orbital flight test.

I'll resolve YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

@/Mqrius/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte

@/BoltonBailey/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-test-583a5ac08305

@/Mqrius/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-b31d369afae1

@/BoltonBailey/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-test-22cb61e371bb

@/Mqrius/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-723cf472c5c1

@/chrisjbillington/will-a-starship-orbital-flight-atte-883c2b0587e9

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Apr 17, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.