Keir Starmer out eoy conditional on England winning the World Cup?

Question

English people love their football, would they still care to remove Starmer if it’s coming home? Resolves YES If England wins the World Cup and Starmer out by eoy, resolves NO if England wins the World Cup and Starmer not out by eoy. Resolves NA if England does not win the World Cup. Will use Polymarket for “Starmer out” definition https://polymarket.com/event/starmer-out-in-2025

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 99% chance (10 traders, as of Jul 20, 2026).