Will anyone earn 2 million mana profit by the end of April 2024?

Question

Resolves YES if someone on Manifold earns Ṁ2,000,000 or more total profit before April 30th 2024 23:59:59 UTC. If this dosn't happen resolves NO.

This market will resolves using the official Manifold Leaderboard: Top Traders of All Time OR using the "Trading profits" value from the profile page of the user in question.

Caveats:
1. Several people have to confirm in the comments that the resolution criteria are met. A photoshoped screenshot wold not trigger the resolution.
2. Any single point on the personal "Trading profits" graph that is Ṁ2,000,000 or more is sufficient for the YES resolution. A "weird profit spike" still counts.
3. If Manifold admins discontinue the Leaderboard feature (it's no longer available through any link) this market resolves N/A regardless if the total profits value is still displayed on the profile page.
4. If Manifold admins rollback the windfall profits from the self-resolving markets (like the WvM) this market still resolves acording to the resolution criteria above.
5. Intentional total profit value manipulation by strategic betting by anyone will not be disqualified, and this market still resolves acording to the resolution criteria above.
6. Intentional total profit value manipulation using bugs / alt-accounts / bots / or fake accounts WILL be disqualified provided sufficient proof, and this market will close, untill the admins take necessary actions and/or rollback the exploited profits, and only after that the market will be reopened. If this market is ever resolved as YES by mistake and later admins ban the user or rollback the exploited profits this market will re-resolve as N/A.
7. In case of a dispute the poll will be held on how this market should resolve.
8. Any value on any profit graph before May 1st 2023 will not trigger the resolution.

This list of caveats might change based on the feedback in the comment section.

I myself will not bet on this market.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on May 2, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.