Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?

Question

This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year. I will be lenient about what counts as a preservation, and resolve based on any credible claim by the company.

See also: https://manifold.markets/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre

Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only human brain preservations count toward resolution. Animal (e.g. pet) preservations do not count.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 5% chance (7 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).