Will the US amend the 2023 Child Tax Credit to depend on prior years' income by the end of January?

Question

The US currently bases its Child Tax Credit payments on the tax filing year's income. Congress is reportedly negotiating a reform that would (additionally) tie its calculation to prior years' income:

[tweet]This question will resolve TRUE if the US enacts legislation by the end of January 2024 to amend the 2023 Child Tax Credit to be based in part on prior years' income.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Feb 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.