Will Germany experience negative economic growth for two consecutive quarters in 2023? (Recession in Germany)

Question

Will Germany experience a recession in 2023?

I will resolve YES if the German economy, measured by price + calendar + seasonally adjusted GDP growth, experiences negative economic growth for two consecutive quarters in 2023.

I will use data from the official German statistics agency. See the (EDIT: second) line of the table here: https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Wirtschaft/Volkswirtschaftliche-Gesamtrechnungen-Inlandsprodukt/Tabellen/bip-bubbles.html

"preisbereinigtes BIP" means price-adjusted GDP

If the website no longer exists at the beginning of 2024, I will find a suitable alternative data source.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 30, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.