Will the FTC's new non-compete ban be upheld on final appeal?

Question

As this market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Kolyin/will-the-ftcs-new-rule-banning-nonc?r=TWF0dExhc2hvZlN1bGxpdmFu)But based on the outcome of any final appeals for any cases pending by the end of 2024. Close date to extend if necessary.

Update 2025-07-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is monitoring Ryan v FTC (24-10951 in the 5th circuit) to determine resolution.

An FTC status report is due on July 10th regarding whether they will continue to press the appeal. This will be a key factor.

Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is extending the market close date. The resolution is now contingent on the FTC's decision on September 8th regarding their appeal in Ryan v FTC.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Sep 19, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.