Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

Question

Resolves YES if he agrees with this publicly. Otherwise, at market close, I'll ask him somehow, and resolve based on the answer. Resolves N/A if he doesn't answer me.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/j9Q8bRmwCgXRYAgcJ/miri-announces-new-death-with-dignity-strategy

I will not trade on this market after 2022.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 17% chance (101 traders, as of Aug 7, 2026).