Will TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?

Question

This market resolves YES if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is exactly one specific human person, with no addendums or funny business (e.g. "Taylor Swift," "Ben Bernanke," "Donald Trump," etc.). This market is different from the other similar market, as this market will resolve NO in cases of a person + a concept.

This market resolves NO if Time's 2026 Person of the Year is:

A group or concept (e.g. "The Architects of A.I.," "You")

A person and a concept (e.g. "Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the Spirit of Ukraine," or theoretically "Sam Altman and ChatGPT")

More than one specific named individual (e.g. "Joe Biden and Kamala Harris", "Ronald Reagan and Yuri Andropov")

Not a person (e.g. "The Computer", or theoretically "ChatGPT," "AI")

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 50% chance (21 traders, as of Apr 23, 2026).