Scott Bessent (Secretary of the Treasury)

Brooke Rollins (Secretary of Agriculture)

Doug Collins (Secretary of Veterans Affairs)

Kristi Noem (Secretary of Homeland Security)

Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)

Kelly Loeffler (Administrator of the Small Business Administration)

These are the 24 members of Trump's cabinet (his 16 "proper" Cabinet members + his 8 Cabinet-level members). Who will leave first? The way they leave the role doesn't matter (resignation, impeachment, and death all count). A role ceasing to exist (i.e., the Dept. of Education being abolished by congress) also counts.

In the unlikely event Trump makes it all the way through his term with none of these people leaving his cabinet, this question will resolve N/A. In the unlikely event Trump dies, this question resolves to Vance (since he will have become the president, which is technically not a cabinet position). 

In the event multiple people leave simultaneously, this market resolves percent, split between all involved.