Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028?

Question

This market will resolve if any of the following are true:

- If this market reaches its close date

- If `HdfAJon2lb0ZttRbUSAC` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?).

It will resolve based on the following decision tree:

- If the human operator agrees:

--- Resolves to round(MKT).

- Otherwise, a manually provided value

Note that the bot operator reserves the right to resolve contrary to the purely automated rules to preserve the spirit of the market. All resolutions are first verified by the human operator.

The operator also reserves the right to trade on this market unless otherwise specified. Even if otherwise specified, the operator reserves the right to buy shares for subsidy or to trade for the purposes of cashing out liquidity.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 89% chance (20 traders, as of Aug 1, 2026).