Will a war on aging be declared by 2033?

Question

If by 2033 a war on aging is declared by the major national governments (U.S., China, EU, Japan...), the UN, the WHO, or other important organizations, this market will resolve to YES.

I'll rely on the mainstream media, an eventual wikipedia article on the war on aging to adjudicate this market.

I expect it to be comparable to stuff like the war on cancer.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 28% chance (26 traders, as of Aug 13, 2026).