Will any journalists in Oregon be criminalized due to their professional activities in 2024?

Question

Background

Despite First Amendment protections, members of the press are often criminalized for doing their job. Journalists reporting protests can be charged with disorderly conduct, jaywalking or criminal trespass. Journalists who "ask too many questions" can be cited for interference or hampering of government employees or be subject to restraining orders. And journalists can be victims of assaults, equipment damage / seizure, or chilling statements.

Market Criteria

The journalist must be physically in Oregon at time of incident

"Professional Activities" includes actions related to the gathering, publishing, or reporting of news

"Crimes" can include arrests, charges, fines, imprisonment, sanctions, or legal orders (such as subpoenas to reveal sources)

Any crimes must be handled by the Oregon or Federal court system

"Criminalization" includes instances where the journalist is prosecuted for professional activities

"Criminalization" excludes instances where the journalist is the victim of the crime (e.g, a journalist gets assaulted, journalist suffers equipment damage / seizure) or prosecuted for crimes outside the scope of professional activies (e.g., DUIs, tax evasion)

Market Resolution

The market will resolve YES if:

Any journalists in Oregon are criminalized for professional activities in 2024

The market will resolve NO if:

No journalists in Oregon are criminalized for professional activities in 2024

The market will resolve N/A if:

The Oregon and Federal legal system dissolves before the end of 2024

The market will resolve based on credible media reports, court cases, inmate lists, or the like.

Related Bounty

(https://manifold.markets/embed/LukasDay/have-any-journalists-in-oregon-be-c)Disclaimer

I do not bet on markets I create in order to avoid motivated reasoning. Any changes to market description will be noted in a change log.

Change Log

10 Jan - Added bounty to aid market resolution

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 18% chance (4 traders, as of Dec 4, 2024).