Will the Texas grid (ERCOT) enter emergency mode in early 2026?

Question

Much of Texas is bracing for a large national winter storm starting in late January 2026. Will the Electric Reliability Council of Texas issue an energy emergency alert of level 1 or higher before June?

Here is a PDF explaining the energy emergency levels. A voluntary demand reduction program does not count by itself.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jun 6, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.