Paired Market: In what year will Puerto Rico no longer be a US Territory?

Question

This is a paired market. When this market resolves, its twin will also resolve to the most likely way in which PR will no longer be a territory. As usual, a vote for HIGHER is implicitly a vote for NO.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/LivInTheLookingGlass/paired-market-in-what-way-will-puer)

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.4983259588243886 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of Jul 12, 2024).