By the end of 2045, will it be possible for a person who was born male to get pregnant and have children?

Question

The fertilization must occur in any manner and the baby must be born alive. The process must be relativly safe and not highly experimental, and it must be cheap enough to be available to the middle class.

It does still count if it's only possible based on actions taken during childhood, such as hormones to change pelvis growth.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 46% chance (42 traders, as of Aug 31, 2026).