Will "How I Learned To Stop Trusting Prediction Mar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Question

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post How I Learned To Stop Trusting Prediction Markets and Love the Arbitrage is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Feb 27, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.