Long-term clone of this market with a closing date 10 years out instead of 3:
https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/will-the-contaminant-hypothesis-of

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The contaminant theory of modern obesity posits that environmental contaminants cause the modern plague of obesity and explains why reasonable intuitions like “calories in, calories out” aren’t sufficient:
https://slimemoldtimemold.com/2021/07/07/a-chemical-hunger-part-i-mysteries/

But is it true? In ten years let’s see if expert consensus (judged as experts I personally deem to be credible and worth listening to) accepts the hypothesis. For my standards this will require a burden of solid evidence backed replicated research.

Closes early if consensus is reached early.

Apr 5, 11:28am: Tags
#Obesity #Medicine #Science #SlimeMoldTimeMold #Chemistry #Nutrition