S&P 500 above 622 at end of July.

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index closes above 622.0 on the last trading day of July 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The official closing value will be sourced from Yahoo Finance.

Background

As of July 2, 2025, the S&P 500 closed at 6,227.42, marking its third all-time high in four days. (apnews.com) Historically, July has been a strong month for the index, with an average return of 3.4% over the past decade. (fool.com)

Considerations

While recent performance has been positive, factors such as ongoing trade tensions and potential policy changes could introduce volatility. Investors should monitor economic indicators and geopolitical developments that may impact market performance.

Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the target value of 622 is intentional and not a typo.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Aug 1, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.