Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when Humans are orbiting the moon?

Question

Resolves Yes if both are elected officials

Resolves 50% if only one is

Resolves No if Xi Jinping and Putin are no longer elected officials

Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Artemis 2 on a free-return trajectory does not count as "humans are orbiting the Moon."

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 68% chance (18 traders, as of Apr 2, 2026).