If the US Women were considered a country, will they be in the Top 3 for the gold medal count at the 2024 Olympics?

Question

So, I've had this picture on my phone for a while:

[image]This was really funny to me to present the data like this. Hilarious even.

Also, there appears to be a history of US Women dominating in Gold Medal counts at the Olympics. During the 2020 Olympics US Women had 23 Golds, which put them behind only China (38) and Japan (27). Similarly in 2012, the US Women had 29 Golds, which put them behind China (39) and tied them with Great Britain. That being said in 2008, US Women had a poorer standing with a mere 15 Golds which put them in 5th.

So, will a top-3 finish happen again at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris for US Women?

Fine print:

Top-3 finish includes being tied for 3rd place with 4th place. Also, the top-3 metric does not include the gold medal count for Team USA as a whole.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Aug 11, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.