Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?

Question

Article here

[image]Resolves NO if the current Israel-Hamas conflict ends before ten years, or YES if it does. Resolves to Wikipedia's official start/end dates for the conflict in ambiguous cases.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 14% chance (24 traders, as of Sep 13, 2026).