Will Humanity deploy any new technology in an unsafe way by 2030? (Contra LeCun)

Question

Context:

[image]Resolves Yes if any counterexample to Yann's claim here occurs before 2030, in my judgement. Resolves No otherwise.

I will not trade in this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 93% chance (23 traders, as of Feb 18, 2026).