Will New Zealand adopt the Laser Kiwi Flag in any official capacity?

Question

The Laser Kiwi Flag was designed by Lucy Gray for a New Zealand flag referendum in 2015.

[image]If the Laser Kiwi Flag, or some variation of it, becomes the official flag of New Zealand, or is otherwise adopted by the New Zealand government to be used for some specific purpose (e.g. a battle flag, naval ensign, or jack, or a flag used to symbolize a specific part of the government), this market will resolve YES. If that doesn't happen by the closure date, it resolves NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 6% chance (7 traders, as of Mar 10, 2026).