Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?

Question

This market resolves based on consensus from major election monitoring organizations and news outlets regarding the fairness and freedom of the 2026 US midterm elections.

Resolution Criteria:

YES if major election monitoring organizations and mainstream media outlets generally agree the elections were free and fair

NO if there is widespread agreement of significant irregularities or concerns about election integrity, or if there are no elections.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 77% chance (40 traders, as of May 14, 2026).