Chemical, biological, nuclear and radiological (CBRN) threats

Scientific reasoning (excluding CBRN and AI)

Feel free to suggest additional answers in the comments, and I might add them! 

(I'll only add them if I expect to be able to resolve the market)

Dec 18 OpenAI released a "living document" describing a beta version of their preparedness framework, specifying conditions under which they will (and will not) train and deploy powerful models, as well as some surrounding governance structure. 

They outline four named Tracked Risk Categories: 

The categories describe specific capabilities: for example, the model autonomy category also tracks model self-improvement: "Model can execute open-ended, novel ML tasks on a production ML codebase that would constitute a significant step on the critical path to model self improvement".

The document also states that this list is "almost certainly not exhaustive", and "as a part of our Governance process [...] we will continually assess whether there is a need for including a new category of risk in the list".

By Jan 1, 2025, which risk categories will be explicitly tracked in the latest version of the framework publicly accessible on OpenAI's website?

I will resolve answers to yes if a keyword is:

For the current document as of Dec 18, 2023 (

), I would resolve as containing Cybersecurity, CBRN, Persuasion, Model Autonomy, Model self-improvement, Self-exfiltration, but 

Goal-directedness / agency,  Situational awareness, Steganography or Impersonation.)

Market resolves as N/A if document is no longer accessible publicly via the OpenAI website, and there is ambiguity about whether it remains a live document or not. 

https://cdn.openai.com/openai-preparedness-framework-beta.pdf