Will the 3 Main House Runoffs in Texas go as expected?

Question

Resolves YES if

Christian Menefee wins his primary(tx-18) AND

Colin Allred wins his primary(tx-33) AND

Johnny Garcia (tx-35) wins his primary

All 3 must occur.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Texas

Colin Allred primary betting:

https://manifold.markets/Jack1/colin-allred-vs-julie-johnson-tx-33?r=SmFjazE

Johnny Garcia primary betting:

https://manifold.markets/anglospherepoliticsguy/who-will-win-the-democratic-primary-SUpNLhOO02?r=SmFjazE

Christian Menefee:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Jack1/democratic-primary-winner-for-texas)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 78% chance (1 traders, as of May 26, 2026).